Super Typhoon Champi Passes Guam, Forecast West-Northwest Toward Taiwan and Philippine Area
Typhoon Champi strengthened into a super typhoon and passed Guam at about 0200 local time on 18 October 2026, with central pressure reported at 915 hPa and maximum sustained winds near the centre of 53 m/s, gusting to 65 m/s, as it moved west at 22 km/h. The Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) announced the super typhoon classification in its 5 a.m. Sunday update and said the system was expected to enter the Philippine Area of Responsibility on Tuesday, when it would be named Rosal locally. Taiwanese and Philippine outlets carried the reporting separately; none of the reporting is first-hand observation.
- No independent imagery or satellite analysis has been performed by this cell; all storm structure descriptions derive from outlet summaries of forecaster commentary.
- No official PAGASA or Taiwan Central Weather Administration bulletin text has been obtained directly; agency figures are reproduced via media reporting.
- Intensity and radius figures, the per-county probability table and the AI ensemble track each appear in a single outlet and are not corroborated by any other reporting root.
- PAGASA's super typhoon designation and the Taiwan-sourced intensity data were published separately and do not cross-check one another's numbers.
- No reporting of damage, casualties, power outages, evacuations, port or airfield closures, flight cancellations or shipping disruption on Guam, in the Philippines or in Taiwan.
- No observations of military posture, basing, or asset relocation anywhere in the storm's reported path.
- No Joint Typhoon Warning Center or other non-regional agency data is present in the collected reporting.
- Forecast tracks reported here are model guidance relayed by media and are not an assessment by this cell.
SOURCE TRACE
6 observation(s) collapsing to 3 independent lineage(s). Grades are Admiralty: letter for source reliability, digit for information credibility. F6 means the source cannot be judged — not that it is false.
| GRADE | KIND | LINEAGE | OBSERVATION | SOURCE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C3 | secondary | L1 | "強大薔琵 「 周五六最接近 」 全台侵襲率上升一次看 | ETtoday生活新聞" — reported by ettoday.net. https://www.ettoday.net/news/20261018/3256551.htm | ettoday.net |
| C3 | secondary | L1 | "薔琵猛爆增強 最新雲圖 「 右上有眼睛那坨才是本人 」 | ETtoday生活新聞" — reported by ettoday.net. https://www.ettoday.net/news/20261018/3256552.htm | ettoday.net |
| C3 | secondary | L2 | "強颱薔琵增強長胖 吳德榮 ： 繼續向西北西撲向台灣 、 北轉機率大幅降低 | 生活新聞 | 生活" — reported by udn.com. https://udn.com/news/story/7266/9821594 — opening of the report: 颱風薔琵可能撲台嗎？中央大學大氣科學系兼任副教授吳德榮今天在「氣象應用推廣基金會」的「洩天機教室」專欄 | udn.com |
| C3 | secondary | L2 | "薔琵還在變強 ！ 新衛星雲圖曝 「 結構超紮實 」 AI北調路徑恐宜蘭登陸 - 生活" — reported by chinatimes.com. https://www.chinatimes.com/realtimenews/20261018000673-260405 — opening of the report: 今年第29號颱風薔琵已於昨晚8時許增強為強烈颱風，但目前 | chinatimes.com |
| C3 | secondary | L2 | "周三變天轉濕冷 薔琵颱風周末撲台機率大增 連假恐泡湯 - 生活" — reported by chinatimes.com. https://www.chinatimes.com/realtimenews/20261018000708-260405 — opening of the report: 今日各地天氣晴朗穩定，白天氣溫偏高。氣象專家吳德榮表示，周三起東北季風增強，迎 | chinatimes.com |
| C3 | secondary | L3 | "Champi now a super typhoon | The Manila Times" — reported by manilatimes.net. https://www.manilatimes.net/2026/10/18/news/national/champi-now-a-super-typhoon/2448055 — opening of the repor | manilatimes.net |
GENERATED BY [email protected] (gdelt+x, triaged)