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TT-S-058 SPOT 191711Z OCT 26 USINDOPACOM and USSOUTHCOM areas of responsibility

PAGASA Reports Champi Re-Intensified to Super Typhoon; Taiwan CWA Shifts Track North of Taiwan

Typhoon Champi re-intensified into a super typhoon at 2 p.m. local time on 19 October, the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) stated, with the eye about 1,515 km east of southeastern Luzon at 4 p.m. and entry into the Philippine Area of Responsibility expected the morning or early afternoon of 20 October. Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) stated the storm will turn northward earlier than previously forecast, near Japan's Ishigaki Island, sparing Taiwan a direct hit while bringing heavy rain to northern Taiwan on Friday and Saturday. No outlet in this collection observed the storm directly; all are secondary reporting of the two weather agencies.

PAGASA Reports Champi Re-Intensified to Super Typhoon; Taiwan CWA Shifts Track North of Taiwan
TT-S-058-2026-08-09-nyt-report-taiwan-drone-usv-hellscape-program.x.png
NOT ESTABLISHED
  • No satellite or other imagery was examined for this report; all storm parameters are as stated by PAGASA and the CWA and relayed by news outlets.
  • PAGASA's re-intensification statement and position fix trace to a single outlet; the Taiwanese reporting does not carry them.
  • No PAGASA signal numbers, evacuation orders, or Philippine impact information are present in the observations.
  • The CWA had not issued a sea warning or land warning within the reporting window; the earliest stated sea-warning time is Wednesday 21 October and a land warning was described as not ruled out.
  • Several track and peak-intensity details in the Taiwanese reporting are attributed to non-official weather commentary pages rather than the CWA, and the reporting itself notes model disagreement on the timing and angle of the northward turn.
  • No observations cover Japanese agency statements, including for the Ishigaki Island area named in the CWA forecast.
  • No damage, casualty, shipping, aviation, or military-installation effects are reported in any observation.

SOURCE TRACE

7 observation(s) collapsing to 4 independent lineage(s). Grades are Admiralty: letter for source reliability, digit for information credibility. F6 means the source cannot be judged — not that it is false.

GRADEKINDLINEAGEOBSERVATIONSOURCE
C3secondaryL1"Typhoon Champi to turn away from Taiwan , will still bring heavy rain" — reported by taipeitimes.com. https://www.taipeitimes.com/News/taiwan/archives/2026/10/20/2003866289 — opening of thetaipeitimes.com
C3secondaryL2"Champi re - intensifies into super typhoon | The Manila Times" — reported by manilatimes.net. https://www.manilatimes.net/2026/10/19/news/national/champi-re-intensifies-into-super-typhoon/manilatimes.net
C3secondaryL3"薔琵又更壯了 ! 最新路徑 「 加速轉彎 」 暴風侵襲率北台再增破6成" — reported by ettoday.net. https://www.ettoday.net/news/20261019/3257476.htmettoday.net
C3secondaryL3"薔琵明後天將迎第2次強度巔峰 氣象署公布最新颱風路徑 | 生活新聞 | 生活" — reported by udn.com. https://udn.com/news/story/7266/9824835 — opening of the report: 強颱薔琵持續增強變胖,氣象粉專指出,薔琵預估明後2天將迎來第2次強度巔峰,這兩天穩定朝西北西移動,但後續路徑各國模式有差異udn.com
C3secondaryL3"薔琵路徑變了 ! 氣象署預測再北修 這3天影響最大 - 生活" — reported by chinatimes.com. https://www.chinatimes.com/realtimenews/20261019004040-260405 — opening of the report: 薔琵路徑晚間又再修正,氣象粉專「天氣即時預報」指出,根據中央氣象署發布的最新颱風chinatimes.com
C3secondaryL4"強颱薔琵將迎二次巔峰 ! 暴風圈恐籠罩北宜 專家 : 登陸機率降威脅仍大 | 生活 | 三立新聞網 SETN . COM" — reported by setn.com. https://www.setn.com/news/1925152 — opening of the report: 強烈颱風薔琵持續增強,即將迎來第2次強度巔峰,氣象粉專「台灣颱風論壇|天氣特急」指出,雖setn.com
C3secondaryL4"薔琵颱風躲不了 ? 暴風圈侵襲率又增加了 「 最高62 %」 不排除發陸警 | 生活 | 三立新聞網 SETN . COM" — reported by setn.com. https://www.setn.com/news/1925150 — opening of the report: 今年第29號颱風薔琵來勢洶洶,各界也關心究竟會不會登陸台灣。而中央氣象署也預估,最快週setn.com

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